LEC Predictions & Tournament Overview – Bet on LEC with our Betting Tips

What is LEC? The League of Legends European Championship, or simply LEC, represents Europe’s highest level of competitive League of Legends and is amongst the top three leagues in the World. This can be seen through the region’s performance at the past three League of Legends World Championships, with LEC teams entering the semifinals four times and finals in two.

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LEC schedule: When to watch LEC

The typical LEC schedule will see games being streamed live on various sites linked above, across two days a week on Friday and Saturday evenings. These two days will see five Best of One (Bo1) games being played for the 2021 LEC Spring regular season.

  • Fridays – Streams start 6pm CET
  • Saturday – Streams start 5pm CET

Times for individual matches can be found on the official LoLEsports.com website. Note, times listed on the LEC schedule are approximate and may be slightly earlier or later depending on the length of games, any technical delays or additional commentary / analysis.

 Where to watch LEC?

There are three primary ways to watch the upcoming 2020 LEC Spring split.

  1. LEC Twitch
  2. LoL Esports Youtube
  3. Official LoLEsports.com

You can watch and bet on LEC at the same time with many top betting websites. Bookmakers with integrated streams of the LEC include; Luckbox, Betway and gg.bet. These allow for a streamlined live betting experience without the inconvenience of switching between multiple tabs.

Participating teams

  • Astralis – Formerly Origen
  • Excel Esports
  • FC Schalke 04
  • Fnatic
  • G2 Esports
  • MAD Lions
  • Misfits Gaming
  • Rogue
  • SK Gaming
  • Team Vitality

Betting tips and favourites

LEC Prediction: Who is the best team in the LEC?

Most people when phased with the question of Europe’s top team, and if asked to make an LEC prediction to name a team that will dominate the 2021 season, they would likely say G2 Esports. G2 Esports have cemented themselves in the hearts of EU / LEC fans due to their success. The team have won first place in the past four playoffs; 2019 LEC Spring Playoffs, 2019 Summer Playoffs, 2020 LEC Spring Playoffs & 2020 Summer Playoffs.

While one of the pillars in G2 Esports, Perkz, has left the team, G2 Esports have gained superstar Rekkles, an arguably better ADC player. Given G2 Esports have retained their extremely strong 2020 lineup, we can expect the team to carry their performance through 2021 and are our outright winner pick for the upcoming season.

The most undervalued team in LEC Predictions and LEC odds

Heading into the first week of the LEC, various book makers and the market in general have seriously underestimated  Misfits Gaming. This translates to good value bets on Misfits, as their chance of victory determined through our LEC betting tips are a higher degree than the chance used to calculate LEC odds.
Tip – Bet on LEC for Misfits Gaming in the earlier weeks until odds are lowered, then stay in tune for updated LEC betting tips and LEC Predictions.

bet on LEC

Bet on LEC: Getting started

Who should I bet on in the LEC

Choosing which matches or markets to bet on entirely depends on what you want to get from betting. If you simple want to express your support for your team, go right ahead and enjoy the experience. However, if you are looking to make some profits on the side, increase your chances by following our LEC predictions and other LEC betting tips.

Our individual match LEC predictions are based on a team’s past performance, a player’s past performance, recent synergy and the champion pools of players in the current meta. The percent beside a team’s name in the predictions are our calculated chances of the team winning the match. Eg. Prediction: Misfits 30% l Rogue 70%. You then compare these chances of teams winning against the bookmaker odds.

Odds from Luckbox.com, view current odds Here.

To calculate which games you should bet on in the LEC, you must determine if there is value in the bet relative to your chance of victory.

To do so:

  1. View our LEC match predictions. Eg. Prediction: Misfits 32% l Fnatic 68%
  2. Access odds from a trusted bookmaker
  3. 1 / Bookmaker odds = 1/ 3.7 = 0.27 = 27%
  4. Compare Step 1 to Step 3.
  5. If Step 1 outweighs Step 3, you have found a valuable bet.

How much should I bet on LEC?

Step one is finding a valuable bet above. In this case, the Misfits vs. Fnatic game set to play on Friday 22/01/21, Week 1 Day 1 of the 2020 LEC Spring regular season.

Step two, after finding a valuable bet, determine your personal risk tolerance and what “small”, “medium” and “large” bets mean to you.

Our general guidelines are as below:

  • <15% – Small bet
  • 15-35% – Small to medium
  • 35-55% – Medium
  • 55-70% – Medium to large
  • >70% – Large

So for this example, the chance of victory is judged to be 30% and call for a small to medium bet.

LEC Betting markets

Aside from the common match winner, there are also some other more interesting betting markets.

Examples include:

  • Kill advantage (To a certain number of kills)
  • Total kills
  • First blood
  • First Baron
  • First Dragon
  • First to 10 kills

These markets are typically more profitable for serious punters who can analyze games to a high degree. This is because even though teams may be unlikely to win an overall match, they may prioritize certain objectives (Eg. Baron or Dragon), increasing their chances over a certain market and leading to better value bets.

LEC Betting Tip: As seen in the table, Misfits has the equal highest first dragon rates for the 2020 LEC Summer regular season. Given the team finished the tournament near the bottom, it is clear either the players or coaching staff has prioritized securing the first dragon as a top priority. Trading towers for first dragon is common in competitive matches, thus, so betting on Misfits to secure the first dragon despite the team having poor odds to win the overall match is a good value bet.

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LEC predictions: Bets to place in the upcoming week 1

Friday

Odds by Luckbox

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G2 Esports vs. MAD Lions
Prediction: G2 Esports 60% l MAD Lions 40%
Value bet on MAD Lions

Astralis vs.  SK Gaming
Prediction: Astralis 47% l SK Gaming 53%

Rogue vs. EXCEL
Prediction: Rogue 58% l EXCEL 42%
Value bet on EXCEL

Team Vitality vs. Schalke 04
Prediction: Team Vitality 40% l Schalke 04 60%

Misfits Gaming vs. Fnatic
Prediction: Misfits Gaming 32% l Fnatic 68%
Value bet on Misfits Gaming

Saturday

Odds by Luckbox

lec-saturday-odds-luckbox

Schalke 04 vs. EXCEL
Prediction: Schalke 04 50% l EXCEL 50%
Value bet on EXCEL

Team Vitality vs. Misfits Gaming
Prediction: Team Vitality 52% l Misfits 48%
Value bet on Misfits Gaming

MAD Lions vs. Astralis Gaming
Prediction: MAD Lions 66% l Astralis 34%
Value bet on Astralis

SK Gaming vs. G2 Esports
Prediction: SK Gaming 12% l G2 Esports 88%

Fnatic vs. Rogue
Prediction: Fnatic 67% l Rogue 33%
Value bet on Fnatic

Pre-match & in-play betting with Luckbox
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